Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-03 3147.239542 3379.191533 3611.622163 3861.684703 4122.788560 4387.066140 4674.459259
2025-08-10 2754.944736 3106.725932 3470.096885 3872.265552 4303.703998 4751.496570 5250.235298
2025-08-17 2473.495276 2897.150485 3344.997398 3851.178776 4404.915267 4989.919313 5652.317164
2025-08-24 2285.476120 2764.263526 3280.273134 3873.610064 4532.955788 5239.340522 6049.484585
2025-08-31 2098.954917 2616.302348 3183.969512 3847.013440 4594.256824 5404.755194 6344.735215
2025-09-07 1991.387487 2547.944206 3168.127523 3902.168950 4739.175043 5656.300040 6729.635357
2025-09-14 1870.158111 2455.305380 3117.254415 3910.786886 4825.763455 5837.937079 7032.556510
2025-09-21 1754.972824 2362.654825 3060.179381 3906.573630 4892.775523 5993.470089 7302.718694
2025-09-28 1613.114838 2230.700642 2950.606795 3835.298844 4877.313227 6050.882413 7457.845589
2025-10-05 1599.273148 2252.299698 3021.487060 3974.765976 5105.596261 6386.768409 7930.610491
2025-10-12 1548.456765 2225.136324 3031.342305 4039.712995 5245.109921 6619.443474 8284.570165
2025-10-19 1479.878246 2172.330685 3007.269264 4061.563648 5331.832494 6789.518811 8565.386262
2025-10-26 1400.912282 2104.588330 2964.105035 4060.514890 5392.582601 6931.581946 8817.301655
2025-11-02 1332.295373 2047.359813 2931.820980 4071.095504 5466.243758 7088.454464 9086.844230
2025-11-09 1253.508748 1973.263145 2875.397432 4049.300921 5498.658972 7194.973402 9296.121280
2025-11-16 1200.311380 1930.563942 2856.650324 4072.478211 5584.277343 7363.671697 9578.073787
2025-11-23 1128.564537 1859.757938 2799.299799 4044.996753 5606.039998 7454.719201 9767.055599
2025-11-30 1097.023449 1842.280032 2809.669308 4101.984846 5731.041350 7669.223001 10102.759036
2025-12-07 1047.705668 1798.044819 2783.372987 4110.888299 5795.423086 7809.973648 10350.093859
2025-12-14 995.997893 1748.247507 2747.941300 4106.535483 5842.081692 7928.425733 10570.197580
2025-12-21 920.719910 1661.650359 2660.774723 4032.891750 5799.816794 7937.021293 10656.742414
2025-12-28 930.740947 1698.724593 2740.420103 4176.980216 6032.763875 8282.901178 11151.944948
2026-01-04 912.332280 1693.198972 2761.602490 4244.059898 6168.039765 8509.133630 11502.658163